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Future Files: The 5 Trends That Will Shape the Next 50 Years

di Richard Watson

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1049261,827 (2.94)Nessuno
Prediction is a dangerous game - the future is never a straight, linear extrapolation from the present. Unexpected innovations and events will conspire to trip up the best-laid plans - but it's better than not thinking about the future at all. This updated and revised edition of Future Files is filled with provocative forecasts about how the world might change in the next half century. It examines emerging patterns and developments in society, technology, economy, and business, and makes educated speculations as to where they might take us. But Future Files is not primarily about prediction. Its goal is to liberate our collective and individual imaginations so that we can see the familiar in a new light and the unfamiliar with greater clarity, and to make us all - individuals and organisations - think about where we are going and to consider whether, when we get there, it will be worth staying. Future Files will prove indispensable to business analysts, strategists, and organisations, and provides rich and fascinating material for us all to contemplate as we rush headlong into the future.… (altro)
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The book covers the usual suspects, trends you see today extended out to the next 50 years but with little critical analysis about how the trends interact with each other and even whether these trends might not collapse and transform. I find this book as an essential reference for how not to write futurology because it does not worry about internal contradictions or balance between the dystopic potential of existing trends. I see futurology as world creation of possibilities that are internally consistent and balanced, not one sided, fragile projections of what we see today, especially at a fifty year timescale. ( )
  yates9 | Feb 28, 2024 |
Gets a lot of the economic parts right ( I suspect it had all already started to happen however, so he ' predicted ' it. The analysis still very good ) No so good on the technological. ( )
  Baku-X | Jan 10, 2017 |
Gets a lot of the economic parts right ( I suspect it had all already started to happen however, so he ' predicted ' it. The analysis still very good ) No so good on the technological. ( )
  BakuDreamer | Sep 7, 2013 |
Freakonomics with a crystal ball, Future Files by Richard Watson is a fascinating, if sometimes unsettling look into how our world will evolve in the next five decades. No segment of society is free of his long-range sights. From genetically engineered babies to self-replicating nanotechnology, Watson tells us where we're going and how we'll get there. ( )
  vlcraven | Sep 26, 2010 |
Not scholarly, but lively and interesting enough. Of hundreds of claimed trends, his Big Five are aging, power shift eastwards, global connectivity, GRIN (genetics, robotics, Internet, nano) technologies, and environment. He thinks mind uploading will be impossible (though he doesn't say why, and he calls it downloading) but doesn't rule it out. UK-flavored, er, -flavoured.
  fpagan | Sep 3, 2009 |
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Prediction is a dangerous game - the future is never a straight, linear extrapolation from the present. Unexpected innovations and events will conspire to trip up the best-laid plans - but it's better than not thinking about the future at all. This updated and revised edition of Future Files is filled with provocative forecasts about how the world might change in the next half century. It examines emerging patterns and developments in society, technology, economy, and business, and makes educated speculations as to where they might take us. But Future Files is not primarily about prediction. Its goal is to liberate our collective and individual imaginations so that we can see the familiar in a new light and the unfamiliar with greater clarity, and to make us all - individuals and organisations - think about where we are going and to consider whether, when we get there, it will be worth staying. Future Files will prove indispensable to business analysts, strategists, and organisations, and provides rich and fascinating material for us all to contemplate as we rush headlong into the future.

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