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Sto caricando le informazioni... A Mathematician Plays The Stock Market (edizione 2004)di John Allen Paulos (Autore)
Informazioni sull'operaUn matematico gioca in borsa: consigli e sconsigli per chi vuole diventare ricco con le buone azioni di John Allen Paulos
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Iscriviti per consentire a LibraryThing di scoprire se ti piacerà questo libro. Attualmente non vi sono conversazioni su questo libro. Amusing anecdotes kept me reading, and some math elements are introduced, but it's not very deep. The main insight I got from this book was that even a trained mathematician can lose his shirt in the stock market due to wishful thinking. ( ) http:// www.math.temple.edu/paulos An academic, Paulos writes text that is easy to read. He writes very openly about his large loss on WorldCom stock. A few quotes: "Transparency, trust, independence, and authority are all needed to make accounting work. They are all in great demand, but sometimes in short supply." "On the whole, most investors, professionals on Wall Street, amateurs everywhere, disbelieve (the Efficient Market Hypothesis), so for this reason I think it holds, but only approximately and only most of the time." "For better or worse, we're on our own." To refresh my thoughts regarding whether I should jump to a new brokerage firm or not, I decided to pull out A Mathematician Plays the Stock Market and read through it again. Mostly I focused on his chapters on technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and sections on the efficient market hypothesis. (Full review at my blog) Ik had hoge verwachtingen van dit boek: eindelijk iemand die op nuchtere wijze en met gedegen onderbouwing zijn visie op de aandelenmarkt zou geven. En inderdaad: Paulos' boek is nuchter, met veel huis-tuin-en-keuken-wiskunde onderbouwt en voor eenieder leesbaar (net als enkele van zijn eerdere boeken). Maar door de bank genomen valt het me erg tegen. Mede komt dit door de zwakke vertaling, maar ook door Paulos' schrijfwijze. Het boek kent weinig structuur, bevat vele open deuren voor eenieder die ook maar enige beurservaring heeft en bevat onaansprekende voorbeelden - erg op Amerikanen gericht. Hier en daar rammelt zijn argumentatie, vooral als hij paralellen trekt tussen zijn parabelen over het dagelijks leven en de praktijk van de aandelenbeurs. Hij vertelt cynisch, maar dan op een overdreven, komisch-bedoelde maar niet-grappige wijze. Zijn boek is echter wel redelijk veelomvattend: hij kaart vrijwel alle bekende beleggingsstrategieën aan de kaart en behandelt de belangrijkste theoretische concepten. Met name de strategieën binnen de technische analyse (momentum- en mean-reversion-strategieën, trendanalyse, Elliotgolven e.d.) komen er ongenadig van af. Voor wie door de zwakheden van het boek heen wil prikken, bevat het boek nuttige tips en 'reminders' - zowel voor de beginnende als de wat gevorderde belegger. Verwacht echter geen tips voor hoe het wel moet, want bij het beantwoorden van die vraag vervalt Paulos in zijn weinig originele antwoord: de aandelenmarkt werkt te efficiënt om buitengewone rendementen te kunnen behalen. nessuna recensione | aggiungi una recensione
In A Mathematician Plays the Stock Market best-selling author John Allen Paulos demonstrates what the tools of mathematics can tell us about the vagaries of the stock market. Employing his trademark stories, vignettes, paradoxes, and puzzles (and even a film treatment), Paulos addresses every thinking reader's curiosity about the market: Is it efficient? Is it rational? Is there anything to technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and other supposedly time-tested methods of picking stocks? How can one quantify risk? What are the most common scams? What light do fractals, network theory, and common psychological foibles shed on investor behavior? Are there any approaches to investing that truly outperform the major indexes? Can a deeper knowledge of mathematics help beat the odds?All of these questions are explored with the engaging erudition that made Paulos's A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper and Innumeracy favorites with both armchair mathematicians and readers who want to think like them. Paulos also shares the cautionary tale of his own long and disastrous love affair with WorldCom. In the tradition of Burton Malkiel's A Random Walk Down Wall Street and Jeremy Siegel's Stocks for the Long Run, this wry and illuminating book is for anyone, investor or not, who follows the markets-or knows someone who does. Non sono state trovate descrizioni di biblioteche |
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