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Out of the Mountains: The Coming Age of the Urban Guerrilla

di David Kilcullen

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1878144,451 (4.25)1
"In Out of the Mountains, David Kilcullen, one of the world's leading experts on modern warfare, offers a groundbreaking look ahead at what may happen after the war in Afghanistan ends. It is a book about future conflicts and future cities, about the challenges and opportunities that four powerful megatrends are creating across the planet. And it is about what national governments, cities, communities and businesses can do to prepare for a future in which all aspects of human society-including, but not limited to, conflict, crime and violence-are rapidly changing. Kilcullen analyzes four megatrends--population growth, urbanization, coastal life, and connectedness-and concludes that future conflict is increasingly likely to occur in sprawling coastal cities, in underdeveloped regions of the Middle East, Africa, Latin America and Asia, and in highly networked, connected settings. He ranges across the globe, from Kingston to Mogadishu to Honduras to Benghazi to Mumbai. Mumbai exemplifies the trend: a coastal megacity, terrorists based in nearby Karachi exploited new forms of connectivity to direct a horrific terrorist attack. Kilcullen also offers a unified theory of "competitive control" that shows how non-state armed groups, drug cartels, street gangs, warlords--draw their strength from local populations, providing useful ideas for dealing with these groups and with diffuse social conflicts in general. But for many of the struggles we will face, he notes, there will be no military solution. We will need to involve local people deeply to address problems which neither outsiders nor locals alone can solve. These collaborations will interweave the insight only locals can bring, with outsider knowledge from fields such as urban planning, systems engineering, alternative energy technology, conflict resolution and mediation, and other disciplines. Deeply researched and compellingly argued, Out of the Mountains provides an invaluable roadmap to a future that will increasingly be crowded, urban, coastal, connected-and dangerous"-- "Kilcullen analyzes four megatrends--population growth, urbanization, coastal life, and connectedness-and concludes that future conflict is increasingly likely to occur in sprawling coastal cities, in underdeveloped regions of the Middle East, Africa, Latin America and Asia, and in highly networked, connected settings. Kilcullen also offers a unified theory of "competitive control" that shows how non-state armed groups, drug cartels, street gangs, warlords--draw their strength from local populations, providing useful ideas for dealing with these groups and with diffuse social conflicts in general. But for many of the struggles we will face, he notes, there will be no military solution. We will need to involve local people deeply to address problems which neither outsiders nor locals alone can solve. These collaborations will interweave the insight only locals can bring, with outsider knowledge from fields such as urban planning, systems engineering, alternative energy technology, conflict resolution and mediation, and other disciplines"--… (altro)
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It's eye opening to be reminded about the bigger picture instead of living in our own cozy little world with our petty problems. ( )
  JosephKingman | Jul 17, 2021 |
Very good overview of urban counterinsurgency to come, almost more by way of an anthropological/sociological view of urbanization, rather than a purely military focus. The appendix is where the technical meat is, and it's quite fascinating. The idea that Iraq/Afghanistan are a collective mistake best forgotten is reinforced by Kilcullen's reference to innovative studies on urban operations, which really peaked between 1997 and 2002, and were then stopped and/or forgotten after the invasion of Iraq.

But, really, quite a good synopsis of why urban operations in the future are inevitable. ( )
  goliathonline | Jul 7, 2020 |
Questa recensione è stata scritta per Recensori in anteprima di LibraryThing.
According to Kilcullen future wars will be asymmetrical, involving non-state actors, littoral (coastal), and urban. Guerilla warfare will move out of the mountains and jungles and into the cities for the simple reason that the majority of the world population lives in cities. A well-written and interesting book that goes beyond military operations. Out of the Mountains was somewhat similar to Robert Kaplan’s The Coming Anarchy, but not so similar as to not deserve reading.

I received an electronic copy of this book from the LT Early Reader program in exchange for an honest review. ( )
  sgtbigg | Feb 5, 2015 |
Questa recensione è stata scritta per Recensori in anteprima di LibraryThing.
Out of the Mountains: The Coming of Age of the Urban Guerrilla certainly makes a solid case concerning the changing face of warfare. I am just not totally sure that urban warfare is a new idea (Mogadishu, Vietnam?). Kilcullen does present an interesting subject in an educated manner, and his first-hand experience adds credibility to his argument. He states that the ever increasing population is becoming more urbanized, and concentrated in coastal areas; this is a trend that has been taking place for many decades however. His assertion that technology has brought about interconnectedness is the one point that is important to note. When one witnesses the speed in which revolutionaries are able to converge in Egypt through the use of Twitter and Facebook, it becomes apparent that technology indeed has become a weapon of sorts, as well as a quick way to disseminate information. Another point that should be stressed however is the fact that governments have the power over the technology that its citizens depend on. Iran has shown how easy it is to shut down social media and the internet in order to leave revolutionary populations in the dark ages. This book may not offer anything groundbreaking in the way of new information, but it does underline the importance of these demographic trends, and the implications associated with them. It was an enjoyable, fast paced read, filled with Mr. Kilcullen’s valuable insight. I recommend reading Out of the Mountains if you are interested in modern warfare and the current state of population demography. ( )
  Archivist13 | Feb 4, 2014 |
This brief book examines a host of related security issues illustrated by concrete and often familiar examples. Kilcullen's theory of competitive control and his treatment of the impact of information and communications technologies on conflicts involving non-state actors should be widely disseminated, especially among urban planners, strategists, military and police planners, and policy makers of all sorts. I did note that although the author believes armed might predicates all solutions, he offers three examples of groups "bending the curve" to prevent violence, two of them quite purposefully using non-violence and one non-violent and more of a valuable support tool for interveners of all sorts. ( )
  nmele | Jan 25, 2014 |
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"In Out of the Mountains, David Kilcullen, one of the world's leading experts on modern warfare, offers a groundbreaking look ahead at what may happen after the war in Afghanistan ends. It is a book about future conflicts and future cities, about the challenges and opportunities that four powerful megatrends are creating across the planet. And it is about what national governments, cities, communities and businesses can do to prepare for a future in which all aspects of human society-including, but not limited to, conflict, crime and violence-are rapidly changing. Kilcullen analyzes four megatrends--population growth, urbanization, coastal life, and connectedness-and concludes that future conflict is increasingly likely to occur in sprawling coastal cities, in underdeveloped regions of the Middle East, Africa, Latin America and Asia, and in highly networked, connected settings. He ranges across the globe, from Kingston to Mogadishu to Honduras to Benghazi to Mumbai. Mumbai exemplifies the trend: a coastal megacity, terrorists based in nearby Karachi exploited new forms of connectivity to direct a horrific terrorist attack. Kilcullen also offers a unified theory of "competitive control" that shows how non-state armed groups, drug cartels, street gangs, warlords--draw their strength from local populations, providing useful ideas for dealing with these groups and with diffuse social conflicts in general. But for many of the struggles we will face, he notes, there will be no military solution. We will need to involve local people deeply to address problems which neither outsiders nor locals alone can solve. These collaborations will interweave the insight only locals can bring, with outsider knowledge from fields such as urban planning, systems engineering, alternative energy technology, conflict resolution and mediation, and other disciplines. Deeply researched and compellingly argued, Out of the Mountains provides an invaluable roadmap to a future that will increasingly be crowded, urban, coastal, connected-and dangerous"-- "Kilcullen analyzes four megatrends--population growth, urbanization, coastal life, and connectedness-and concludes that future conflict is increasingly likely to occur in sprawling coastal cities, in underdeveloped regions of the Middle East, Africa, Latin America and Asia, and in highly networked, connected settings. Kilcullen also offers a unified theory of "competitive control" that shows how non-state armed groups, drug cartels, street gangs, warlords--draw their strength from local populations, providing useful ideas for dealing with these groups and with diffuse social conflicts in general. But for many of the struggles we will face, he notes, there will be no military solution. We will need to involve local people deeply to address problems which neither outsiders nor locals alone can solve. These collaborations will interweave the insight only locals can bring, with outsider knowledge from fields such as urban planning, systems engineering, alternative energy technology, conflict resolution and mediation, and other disciplines"--

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